Paper 2, Section II, F
Part IA, 2010
In a branching process every individual has probability of producing exactly offspring, , and the individuals of each generation produce offspring independently of each other and of individuals in preceding generations. Let represent the size of the th generation. Assume that and and let be the generating function of . Thus
(a) Prove that
(b) State a result in terms of about the probability of eventual extinction. [No proofs are required.]
(c) Suppose the probability that an individual leaves descendants in the next generation is , for . Show from the result you state in (b) that extinction is certain. Prove further that in this case
and deduce the probability that the th generation is empty.