Paper 2, Section II, F
A circular island has a volcano at its central point. During an eruption, lava flows from the mouth of the volcano and covers a sector with random angle (measured in radians), whose line of symmetry makes a random angle with some fixed compass bearing.
The variables and are independent. The probability density function of is constant on and the probability density function of is of the form where , and is a constant.
(a) Find the value of . Calculate the expected value and the variance of the sector angle . Explain briefly how you would simulate the random variable using a uniformly distributed random variable .
(b) and are two houses on the island which are collinear with the mouth of the volcano, but on different sides of it. Find
(i) the probability that is hit by the lava;
(ii) the probability that both and are hit by the lava;
(iii) the probability that is not hit by the lava given that is hit.