A Markov chain has state space {a,b,c} and transition matrix
P=⎝⎛03/42/33/501/32/51/40⎠⎞
where the rows 1,2,3 correspond to a,b,c, respectively. Show that this Markov chain is equivalent to a random walk on some graph with 6 edges.
Let k(i,j) denote the mean first passage time from i to j.
(i) Find k(a,a) and k(a,b).
(ii) Given X0=a, find the expected number of steps until the walk first completes a step from b to c.
(iii) Suppose the distribution of X0 is (π1,π2,π3)=(5,4,3)/12. Let τ(a,b) be the least m such that {a,b} appears as a subsequence of {X0,X1,…,Xm}. By comparing the distributions of {X0,X1,…,Xm} and {Xm,…,X1,X0} show that Eτ(a,b)=Eτ(b,a) and that