Paper 3, Section II, H
Part IB, 2016
Let be independent samples from the Poisson distribution with mean .
(a) Compute the maximum likelihood estimator of . Is this estimator biased?
(b) Under the assumption that is very large, use the central limit theorem to find an approximate confidence interval for . [You may use the notation for the number such that for a standard normal
(c) Now suppose the parameter has the prior distribution. What is the posterior distribution? What is the Bayes point estimator for for the quadratic loss function Let be another independent sample from the same distribution. Given , what is the posterior probability that ?
[Hint: The density of the distribution is , for .]