Paper 2, Section I, 8H

Statistics
Part IB, 2017

(a) Define a 100γ%100 \gamma \% confidence interval for an unknown parameter θ\theta.

(b) Let X1,,XnX_{1}, \ldots, X_{n} be i.i.d. random variables with distribution N(μ,1)N(\mu, 1) with μ\mu unknown. Find a 95%95 \% confidence interval for μ\mu.

[You may use the fact that Φ(1.96)0.975.]\Phi(1.96) \simeq 0.975 .]

(c) Let U1,U2U_{1}, U_{2} be independent U[θ1,θ+1]U[\theta-1, \theta+1] with θ\theta to be estimated. Find a 50%50 \% confidence interval for θ\theta.

Suppose that we have two observations u1=10u_{1}=10 and u2=11.5u_{2}=11.5. What might be a better interval to report in this case?