Paper 1, Section II, H
Let be a Markov chain with transition matrix . What is a stopping time of ? What is the strong Markov property?
A porter is trying to apprehend a student who is walking along a long narrow path at night. Being unaware of the porter, the student's location at time evolves as a simple symmetric random walk on . The porter's initial location is units to the right of the student, so where . The future locations of the porter evolve as follows: The porter moves to the left (so ) with probability , and to the right with probability whenever . When , the porter's probability of moving left changes to , and the probability of moving right is .
(a) By setting up an appropriate Markov chain, show that for , the expected time for the porter to be a distance away from the student is .
(b) Show that the expected time for the porter to catch the student, i.e. for their locations to coincide, is
[You may use without proof the fact that the time for the porter to catch the student is finite with probability 1 for any .]