Paper 3 , Section I, H

Markov Chains
Part IB, 2021

Consider a Markov chain (Xn)n0\left(X_{n}\right)_{n \geqslant 0} on a state space II.

(a) Define the notion of a communicating class. What does it mean for a communicating class to be closed?

(b) Taking I={1,,6}I=\{1, \ldots, 6\}, find the communicating classes associated with the transition matrix PP given by

P=(000014341400012140120120001200120141200014100000)P=\left(\begin{array}{cccccc} 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & \frac{1}{4} & \frac{3}{4} \\ \frac{1}{4} & 0 & 0 & 0 & \frac{1}{2} & \frac{1}{4} \\ 0 & \frac{1}{2} & 0 & \frac{1}{2} & 0 & 0 \\ 0 & \frac{1}{2} & 0 & 0 & \frac{1}{2} & 0 \\ \frac{1}{4} & \frac{1}{2} & 0 & 0 & 0 & \frac{1}{4} \\ 1 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 & 0 \end{array}\right)

and identify which are closed.

(c) Find the expected time for the Markov chain with transition matrix PP above to reach 6 starting from 1 .