A2.11 B2.16

Principles of Statistics
Part II, 2002

(i) Let XX be a random variable with density function f(x;θ)f(x ; \theta). Consider testing the simple null hypothesis H0:θ=θ0H_{0}: \theta=\theta_{0} against the simple alternative hypothesis H1:θ=θ1H_{1}: \theta=\theta_{1}.

What is the form of the optimal size α\alpha classical hypothesis test?

Compare the form of the test with the Bayesian test based on the Bayes factor, and with the Bayes decision rule under the 0-1 loss function, under which a loss of 1 is incurred for an incorrect decision and a loss of 0 is incurred for a correct decision.

(ii) What does it mean to say that a family of densities {f(x;θ),θΘ}\{f(x ; \theta), \theta \in \Theta\} with real scalar parameter θ\theta is of monotone likelihood ratio?

Suppose XX has a distribution from a family which is of monotone likelihood ratio with respect to a statistic t(X)t(X) and that it is required to test H0:θθ0H_{0}: \theta \leqslant \theta_{0} against H1:θ>θ0H_{1}: \theta>\theta_{0}.

State, without proof, a theorem which establishes the existence of a uniformly most powerful test and describe in detail the form of the test.

Let X1,,XnX_{1}, \ldots, X_{n} be independent, identically distributed U(0,θ),θ>0U(0, \theta), \theta>0. Find a uniformly most powerful size α\alpha test of H0:θθ0H_{0}: \theta \leqslant \theta_{0} against H1:θ>θ0H_{1}: \theta>\theta_{0}, and find its power function. Show that we may construct a different, randomised, size α\alpha test with the same power function for θθ0\theta \geqslant \theta_{0}.