B3.13
Let be a renewal process with holding times and be a renewal-reward process over with a sequence of rewards . Under assumptions on and which you should state clearly, prove that the ratios
converge as . You should specify the form of convergence guaranteed by your assumptions. The law of large numbers, in the appropriate form, for sums and can be used without proof.
In a mountain resort, when you rent skiing equipment you are given two options. (1) You buy an insurance waiver that costs where is the daily equipment rent. Under this option, the shop will immediately replace, at no cost to you, any piece of equipment you break during the day, no matter how many breaks you had. (2) If you don't buy the waiver, you'll pay in the case of any break.
To find out which option is better for me, I decided to set up two models of renewalreward process . In the first model, (Option 1), all of the holding times are equal to 6 . In the second model, given that there is no break on day (an event of probability , we have , but given that there is a break on day , we have that is uniformly distributed on , and . (In the second model, I would not continue skiing after a break, whereas in the first I would.)
Calculate in each of these models the limit
representing the long-term average cost of a unit of my skiing time.