A3.1 B3.1

Markov Chains
Part II, 2004

(i) Give the definition of the time-reversal of a discrete-time Markov chain (Xn)\left(X_{n}\right). Define a reversible Markov chain and check that every probability distribution satisfying the detailed balance equations is invariant.

(ii) Customers arrive in a hairdresser's shop according to a Poisson process of rate λ>0\lambda>0. The shop has ss hairstylists and NN waiting places; each stylist is working (on a single customer) provided that there is a customer to serve, and any customer arriving when the shop is full (i.e. the numbers of customers present is N+sN+s ) is not admitted and never returns. Every admitted customer waits in the queue and then is served, in the first-come-first-served order (say), the service taking an exponential time of rate μ>0\mu>0; the service times of admitted customers are independent. After completing his/her service, the customer leaves the shop and never returns.

Set up a Markov chain model for the number XtX_{t} of customers in the shop at time t0t \geq 0. Assuming λ<sμ\lambda<s \mu, calculate the equilibrium distribution π\pi of this chain and explain why it is unique. Show that (Xt)\left(X_{t}\right) in equilibrium is time-reversible, i.e. T>0,(Xt,0tT)\forall T>0,\left(X_{t}, 0 \leq t \leq T\right) has the same distribution as (Yt,0tT)\left(Y_{t}, 0 \leq t \leq T\right) where Yt=XTtY_{t}=X_{T-t}, and X0πX_{0} \sim \pi.