A4.1

Markov Chains
Part II, 2004

(a) Give three definitions of a continuous-time Markov chain with a given QQ-matrix on a finite state space: (i) in terms of holding times and jump probabilities, (ii) in terms of transition probabilities over small time intervals, and (iii) in terms of finite-dimensional distributions.

(b) A flea jumps clockwise on the vertices of a triangle; the holding times are independent exponential random variables of rate one. Find the eigenvalues of the corresponding QQ-matrix and express transition probabilities pxy(t),t0,x,y=A,B,Cp_{x y}(t), t \geq 0, x, y=A, B, C, in terms of these roots. Deduce the formulas for the sums

S0(t)=n=0t3n(3n)!,S1(t)=n=0t3n+1(3n+1)!,S2(t)=n=0t3n+2(3n+2)!S_{0}(t)=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac{t^{3 n}}{(3 n) !}, \quad S_{1}(t)=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac{t^{3 n+1}}{(3 n+1) !}, \quad S_{2}(t)=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac{t^{3 n+2}}{(3 n+2) !}

in terms of the functions et,et/2,cos(3t/2)e^{t}, e^{-t / 2}, \cos (\sqrt{3} t / 2) and sin(3t/2)\sin (\sqrt{3} t / 2).

Find the limits

limtetSj(t),j=0,1,2.\lim _{t \rightarrow \infty} e^{-t} S_{j}(t), \quad j=0,1,2 .

What is the connection between the decompositions et=S0(t)+S1(t)+S2(t)e^{t}=S_{0}(t)+S_{1}(t)+S_{2}(t) and et=cosht+sinht?e^{t}=\cosh t+\sinh t ?