(a) State the strong law of large numbers. State the central limit theorem.
(b) Assuming whatever regularity conditions you require, show that if θ^n≡θ^n(X1,…,Xn) is the maximum-likelihood estimator of the unknown parameter θ based on an independent identically distributed sample of size n, then under Pθ
n(θ^n−θ)→N(0,J(θ)−1) in distribution
as n→∞, where J(θ) is a matrix which you should identify. A rigorous derivation is not required.
(c) Suppose that X1,X2,… are independent binomial Bin(1,θ) random variables. It is required to test H0:θ=21 against the alternative H1:θ∈(0,1). Show that the construction of a likelihood-ratio test leads us to the statistic
Tn=2n{θ^nlogθ^n+(1−θ^n)log(1−θ^n)+log2}
where θ^n≡n−1∑k=1nXk. Stating clearly any result to which you appeal, for large n, what approximately is the distribution of Tn under H0 ? Writing θ^n=21+Zn, and assuming that Zn is small, show that
Tn≃4nZn2
Using this and the central limit theorem, briefly justify the approximate distribution of Tn given by asymptotic maximum-likelihood theory. What could you say if the assumption that Zn is small failed?