A large population of some species has probability P(n,t) of taking the value n at time t. Explain the use of the generating function ϕ(s,t)=∑n=0∞snP(n,t), and give expressions for P(n,t) and ⟨n⟩ in terms of ϕ.
A particular population is subject to a birth-death process, so that the probability of an increase from n to n+1 in unit time is α+βn, while the probability of a decrease from n to n−1 is γn, with γ>β. Show that the master equation for P(n,t) is
∂t∂P(n,t)=(α+β(n−1))P(n−1,t)+γ(n+1)P(n+1,t)−(α+(β+γ)n)P(n,t)
Derive the equation satisfied by ϕ, and show that in the statistically steady state, when ϕ and P are independent of time, ϕ takes the form
ϕ(s)=(γ−βsγ−β)α/β
Using the equation for ϕ, or otherwise, find ⟨n⟩.