2.II.13B

Mathematical Biology
Part II, 2006

Consider the discrete predator-prey model for two populations Nt,PtN_{t}, P_{t} of prey and predators, respectively:

Nt+T=rNtexp(aPt)Pt+T=sNt(1bexp(aPt))},\left.\begin{array}{rl} N_{t+T} & =r N_{t} \exp \left(-a P_{t}\right) \\ P_{t+T} & =s N_{t}\left(1-b \exp \left(-a P_{t}\right)\right) \end{array}\right\},

where r,s,a,br, s, a, b are constants, all assumed to be positive.

(a) Give plausible explanations of the meanings of T,r,s,a,bT, r, s, a, b.

(b) Nondimensionalize equations ()(*) to show that with appropriate rescaling they may be reduced to the form

nt+1=rntexp(pt)pt+1=nt(1bexp(pt))}\left.\begin{array}{l} n_{t+1}=r n_{t} \exp \left(-p_{t}\right) \\ p_{t+1}=n_{t}\left(1-b \exp \left(-p_{t}\right)\right) \end{array}\right\}

(c) Now assume that b<1,r>1b<1, r>1. Show that the origin is unstable, and that there is a nontrivial fixed point (n,p)=(nc(b,r),pc(b,r))(n, p)=\left(n_{c}(b, r), p_{c}(b, r)\right). Investigate the stability of this point by writing (nt,pt)=(nc+nt,pc+pt)\left(n_{t}, p_{t}\right)=\left(n_{c}+n_{t}^{\prime}, p_{c}+p_{t}^{\prime}\right) and linearizing. Express the linearized equations as a second order recurrence relation for ntn_{t}^{\prime}, and hence show that ntn_{t}^{\prime} satisfies an equation of the form

nt=Aλ1t+Bλ2tn_{t}^{\prime}=A \lambda_{1}^{t}+B \lambda_{2}^{t}

where the quantities λ1,2\lambda_{1,2} satisfy λ1+λ2=1+bnc/r,λ1λ2=nc\lambda_{1}+\lambda_{2}=1+b n_{c} / r, \lambda_{1} \lambda_{2}=n_{c} and A,BA, B are constants. Give a similar expression for ptp_{t}^{\prime} for the same values of A,BA, B.

Show that when rr is just greater than unity the λi(i=1,2)\lambda_{i}(i=1,2) are real and both less than unity, while if ncn_{c} is just greater than unity then the λi\lambda_{i} are complex with modulus greater than one. Show also that ncn_{c} increases monotonically with rr and that if the roots are real neither of them can be unity.

Deduce that the fixed point is stable for sufficiently small rr but loses stability for a value of rr that depends on bb but is certainly less than e=exp(1)e=\exp (1). Give an equation that determines the value of rr where stability is lost, and an equation that gives the argument of the eigenvalue at this point. Sketch the behaviour of the moduli of the eigenvalues as functions of rr.