3.II.25J
For a discrete-time Markov chain, if the probability of transition does not depend on then the chain is reduced to a sequence of independent random variables (states). In this case, the chain forgets about its initial state and enters equilibrium after a single transition. In the continuous-time case, a Markov chain whose rates of transition depend on but not on still 'remembers' its initial state and reaches equilibrium only in the limit as the time grows indefinitely. This question is an illustration of this property.
A protean sea sponge may change its colour among varieties , under the influence of the environment. The rate of transition from colour to equals and does not depend on . Consider a Q-matrix with entries
where . Assume that and let be the continuous-time Markov chain with generator . Given , let be the matrix of transition probabilities in time in chain .
(a) State the exponential relation between the matrices and .
(b) Set . Check that are equilibrium probabilities for the chain . Is this a unique equilibrium distribution? What property of the vector with entries relative to the matrix is involved here?
(c) Let be a vector with components such that . Show that . Compute
(d) Now let denote the (column) vector whose entries are 0 except for the th one which equals 1. Observe that the th row of is . Prove that
(e) Deduce the expression for transition probabilities in terms of rates and their sum .