3.II.26I
Part II, 2007
(i) In the context of decision theory, what is a Bayes rule with respect to a given loss function and prior? What is an extended Bayes rule?
Characterise the Bayes rule with respect to a given prior in terms of the posterior distribution for the parameter given the observation. When for some , and the loss function is , what is the Bayes rule?
(ii) Suppose that , with loss function and suppose further that under .
Supposing that a prior is taken over , compute the Bayes risk of the decision rule . Find the posterior distribution of given , and confirm that its mean is of the form for some value of which you should identify. Hence show that the decision rule is an extended Bayes rule.