2.II.27I

Principles of Statistics
Part II, 2008

Under hypothesis Hi(i=0,1)H_{i}(i=0,1), a real-valued observable XX, taking values in X\mathcal{X}, has density function pi()p_{i}(\cdot). Define the Type I error α\alpha and the Type II error β\beta of a test ϕ:X[0,1]\phi: \mathcal{X} \rightarrow[0,1] of the null hypothesis H0H_{0} against the alternative hypothesis H1H_{1}. What are the size and power of the test in terms of α\alpha and β\beta ?

Show that, for 0<c<,ϕ0<c<\infty, \phi minimises cα+βc \alpha+\beta among all possible tests if and only if it satisfies

p1(x)>cp0(x)ϕ(x)=1p1(x)<cp0(x)ϕ(x)=0\begin{aligned} &p_{1}(x)>c p_{0}(x) \Rightarrow \phi(x)=1 \\ &p_{1}(x)<c p_{0}(x) \Rightarrow \phi(x)=0 \end{aligned}

What does this imply about the admissibility of such a test?

Given the value θ\theta of a parameter variable Θ[0,1)\Theta \in[0,1), the observable XX has density function

p(xθ)=2(xθ)(1θ)2(θx1)p(x \mid \theta)=\frac{2(x-\theta)}{(1-\theta)^{2}} \quad(\theta \leqslant x \leqslant 1)

For fixed θ(0,1)\theta \in(0,1), describe all the likelihood ratio tests of H0:Θ=0H_{0}: \Theta=0 against Hθ:Θ=θH_{\theta}: \Theta=\theta.

For fixed k(0,1)k \in(0,1), let ϕk\phi_{k} be the test that rejects H0H_{0} if and only if XkX \geqslant k. Is ϕk\phi_{k} admissible as a test of H0H_{0} against HθH_{\theta} for every θ(0,1)\theta \in(0,1) ? Is it uniformly most powerful for its size for testing H0H_{0} against the composite hypothesis H1:Θ(0,1)H_{1}: \Theta \in(0,1) ? Is it admissible as a test of H0H_{0} against H1H_{1} ?