3.II.26I

Principles of Statistics
Part II, 2008

Define the notion of exponential family (EF)(E F), and show that, for data arising as a random sample of size nn from an exponential family, there exists a sufficient statistic whose dimension stays bounded as nn \rightarrow \infty.

The log-density of a normal distribution N(μ,v)\mathcal{N}(\mu, v) can be expressed in the form

logp(xϕ)=ϕ1x+ϕ2x2k(ϕ)\log p(x \mid \boldsymbol{\phi})=\phi_{1} x+\phi_{2} x^{2}-k(\boldsymbol{\phi})

where ϕ=(ϕ1,ϕ2)\phi=\left(\phi_{1}, \phi_{2}\right) is the value of an unknown parameter Φ=(Φ1,Φ2)\Phi=\left(\Phi_{1}, \Phi_{2}\right). Determine the function kk, and the natural parameter-space F\mathbb{F}. What is the mean-value parameter H=(H1,H2)\mathrm{H}=\left(\mathrm{H}_{1}, \mathrm{H}_{2}\right) in terms of Φ?\Phi ?

Determine the maximum likelihood estimator Φ^1\widehat{\Phi}_{1} of Φ1\Phi_{1} based on a random sample (X1,,Xn)\left(X_{1}, \ldots, X_{n}\right), and give its asymptotic distribution for nn \rightarrow \infty.

How would these answers be affected if the variance of XX were known to have value v0v_{0} ?