Paper 1, Section II, H
(i) State and prove Gibbs' inequality.
(ii) A casino offers me the following game: I choose strictly positive numbers with . I give the casino my entire fortune and roll an -sided die. With probability the casino returns for . If I intend to play the game many times (staking my entire fortune each time) explain carefully why I should choose to maximise .
[You should assume and for each ]
(iii) Determine the appropriate . Let . Show that, if , then, in the long run with high probability, my fortune increases. Show that, if , the casino can choose in such a way that, in the long run with high probability, my fortune decreases. Is it true that, if , any choice of will ensure that, in the long run with high probability, my fortune decreases? Why?