Paper 4, Section II, 27J\mathbf{2 7 J}

Principles of Statistics
Part II, 2010

Define completeness and bounded completeness of a statistic TT in a statistical experiment.

Random variables X1,X2,X3X_{1}, X_{2}, X_{3} are generated as Xi=Θ1/2Z+(1Θ)1/2YiX_{i}=\Theta^{1 / 2} Z+(1-\Theta)^{1 / 2} Y_{i}, where Z,Y1,Y2,Y3Z, Y_{1}, Y_{2}, Y_{3} are independently standard normal N(0,1)\mathcal{N}(0,1), and the parameter Θ\Theta takes values in (0,1)(0,1). What is the joint distribution of (X1,X2,X3)\left(X_{1}, X_{2}, X_{3}\right) when Θ=θ\Theta=\theta ? Write down its density function, and show that a minimal sufficient statistic for Θ\Theta based on (X1,X2,X3)\left(X_{1}, X_{2}, X_{3}\right) is T=(T1,T2):=(i=13Xi2,(i=13Xi)2)T=\left(T_{1}, T_{2}\right):=\left(\sum_{i=1}^{3} X_{i}^{2},\left(\sum_{i=1}^{3} X_{i}\right)^{2}\right).

[Hint: You may use that if II is the n×nn \times n identity matrix and JJ is the n×nn \times n matrix all of whose entries are 1 , then aI+bJa I+b J has determinant an1(a+nb)a^{n-1}(a+n b), and inverse cI+dJc I+d J with c=1/a,d=b/(a(a+nb))c=1 / a, d=-b /(a(a+n b)).]

What is Eθ(T1)?\mathbb{E}_{\theta}\left(T_{1}\right) ? Is TT complete for Θ?\Theta ?

Let S:=Prob(X121T)S:=\operatorname{Prob}\left(X_{1}^{2} \leqslant 1 \mid T\right). Show that Eθ(S)\mathbb{E}_{\theta}(S) is a positive constant cc which does not depend on θ\theta, but that SS is not identically equal to cc. Is TT boundedly complete for Θ\Theta ?