Paper 2, Section II,
Carefully defining all italicised terms, show that, if a sufficiently general method of inference respects both the Weak Sufficiency Principle and the Conditionality Principle, then it respects the Likelihood Principle.
The position of a particle at time has the Normal distribution , where is the value of an unknown parameter ; and the time, , at which the particle first reaches position has probability density function
Experimenter observes , and experimenter observes , where are fixed in advance. It turns out that . What does the Likelihood Principle say about the inferences about to be made by the two experimenters?
bases his inference about on the distribution and observed value of , while bases her inference on the distribution and observed value of . Show that these choices respect the Likelihood Principle.