Paper 4, Section I, A

Mathematical Biology
Part II, 2013

A model of two populations competing for resources takes the form

dn1dt=r1n1(1n1a12n2)dn2dt=r2n2(1n2a21n1)\begin{aligned} \frac{d n_{1}}{d t} &=r_{1} n_{1}\left(1-n_{1}-a_{12} n_{2}\right) \\ \frac{d n_{2}}{d t} &=r_{2} n_{2}\left(1-n_{2}-a_{21} n_{1}\right) \end{aligned}

where all parameters are positive. Give a brief biological interpretation of a12,a21,r1a_{12}, a_{21}, r_{1} and r2r_{2}. Briefly describe the dynamics of each population in the absence of the other.

Give conditions for there to exist a steady-state solution with both populations present (that is, n1>0n_{1}>0 and n2>0n_{2}>0 ), and give conditions for this solution to be stable.

In the case where there exists a solution with both populations present but the solution is not stable, what is the likely long-term outcome for the biological system? Explain your answer with the aid of a phase diagram in the (n1,n2)\left(n_{1}, n_{2}\right) plane.