Paper 1, Section II, J

Applied Probability
Part II, 2014

(i) Explain what a QQ-matrix is. Let QQ be a QQ-matrix. Define the notion of a Markov chain (Xt,t0)\left(X_{t}, t \geqslant 0\right) in continuous time with QQ-matrix given by QQ, and give a construction of (Xt,t0)\left(X_{t}, t \geqslant 0\right). [You are not required to justify this construction.]

(ii) A population consists of NtN_{t} individuals at time t0t \geqslant 0. We assume that each individual gives birth to a new individual at constant rate λ>0\lambda>0. As the population is competing for resources, we assume that for each n1n \geqslant 1, if Nt=nN_{t}=n, then any individual in the population at time tt dies in the time interval [t,t+h)[t, t+h) with probability δnh+o(h)\delta_{n} h+o(h), where (δn)n=1\left(\delta_{n}\right)_{n=1}^{\infty} is a given sequence satisfying δ1=0,δn>0\delta_{1}=0, \delta_{n}>0 for n2n \geqslant 2. Formulate a Markov chain model for (Nt,t0)\left(N_{t}, t \geqslant 0\right) and write down the QQ-matrix explicitly. Then find a necessary and sufficient condition on (δn)n=1\left(\delta_{n}\right)_{n=1}^{\infty} so that the Markov chain has an invariant distribution. Compute the invariant distribution in the case where δn=μ(n1)\delta_{n}=\mu(n-1) and μ>0\mu>0.