Paper 3, Section II, K

Applied Probability
Part II, 2015

(i) Let XX be a Poisson process of parameter λ\lambda. Let YY be obtained by taking each point of XX and, independently of the other points, keeping it with probability pp. Show that YY is another Poisson process and find its intensity. Show that for every fixed tt the random variables YtY_{t} and XtYtX_{t}-Y_{t} are independent.

(ii) Suppose we have nn bins, and balls arrive according to a Poisson process of rate 1 . Upon arrival we choose a bin uniformly at random and place the ball in it. We let MnM_{n} be the maximum number of balls in any bin at time nn. Show that

P(Mn(1+ϵ)lognloglogn)0 as n\mathbb{P}\left(M_{n} \geqslant(1+\epsilon) \frac{\log n}{\log \log n}\right) \rightarrow 0 \quad \text { as } n \rightarrow \infty

[You may use the fact that if ξ\xi is a Poisson random variable of mean 1 , then

P(ξx)exp(xxlogx).]\mathbb{P}(\xi \geqslant x) \leqslant \exp (x-x \log x) .]