Paper 1, Section I, B
Part II, 2016
Consider an epidemic model where susceptibles are vaccinated at per capita rate , but immunity (from infection or vaccination) is lost at per capita rate . The system is given by
where are the susceptibles, are the infecteds, is the total population size and all parameters are positive. The basic reproduction ratio satisfies .
Find the critical vaccination rate , in terms of and , such that the system has an equilibrium with the disease present if . Show that this equilibrium is stable when it exists.
Find the long-term outcome for and if .