Paper 3, Section II, 26 K26 \mathrm{~K}

Principles of Statistics
Part II, 2017

We consider the problem of estimating an unknown θ0\theta_{0} in a statistical model {f(x,θ),θΘ}\{f(x, \theta), \theta \in \Theta\} where ΘR\Theta \subset \mathbb{R}, based on nn i.i.d. observations X1,,XnX_{1}, \ldots, X_{n} whose distribution has p.d.f. f(x,θ0)f\left(x, \theta_{0}\right).

In all the parts below you may assume that the model satisfies necessary regularity conditions.

(a) Define the score function SnS_{n} of θ\theta. Prove that Sn(θ0)S_{n}\left(\theta_{0}\right) has mean 0 .

(b) Define the Fisher Information I(θ)I(\theta). Show that it can also be expressed as

I(θ)=Eθ[d2dθ2logf(X1,θ)]I(\theta)=-\mathbb{E}_{\theta}\left[\frac{d^{2}}{d \theta^{2}} \log f\left(X_{1}, \theta\right)\right]

(c) Define the maximum likelihood estimator θ^n\hat{\theta}_{n} of θ\theta. Give without proof the limits of θ^n\hat{\theta}_{n} and of n(θ^nθ0\sqrt{n}\left(\hat{\theta}_{n}-\theta_{0}\right. ) (in a manner which you should specify). [Be as precise as possible when describing a distribution.]

(d) Let ψ:ΘR\psi: \Theta \rightarrow \mathbb{R} be a continuously differentiable function, and θ~n\tilde{\theta}_{n} another estimator of θ0\theta_{0} such that θ^nθ~n1/n\left|\hat{\theta}_{n}-\tilde{\theta}_{n}\right| \leqslant 1 / n with probability 1 . Give the limits of ψ(θ~n)\psi\left(\tilde{\theta}_{n}\right) and of n(ψ(θ~n)ψ(θ0))\sqrt{n}\left(\psi\left(\tilde{\theta}_{n}\right)-\psi\left(\theta_{0}\right)\right) (in a manner which you should specify).