Paper 2, Section I, C
Part II, 2018
Consider a model of an epidemic consisting of populations of susceptible, , infected, , and recovered, , individuals that obey the following differential equations
where and are constant. Show that the sum of susceptible, infected and recovered individuals is a constant . Find the fixed points of the dynamics and deduce the condition for an endemic state with a positive number of infected individuals. Expressing in terms of and , reduce the system of equations to two coupled differential equations and, hence, deduce the conditions for the fixed point to be a node or a focus. How do small perturbations of the populations relax to the steady state in each case?