Consider a stochastic birth-death process in a population of size n(t), where deaths occur in pairs for n⩾2. The probability per unit time of a birth, n→n+1 for n⩾0, is b, that of a pair of deaths, n→n−2 for n⩾2, is dn, and that of the death of a lonely singleton, 1→0, is D.
(a) Write down the master equation for pn(t), the probability of a population of size n at time t, distinguishing between the cases n⩾2,n=0 and n=1.
(b) For a function f(n),n⩾0, show carefully that
dtd⟨f(n)⟩=bn=0∑∞(fn+1−fn)pn−dn=2∑∞(fn−fn−2)npn−D(f1−f0)p1
where fn=f(n).
(c) Deduce the evolution equation for the mean μ(t)=⟨n⟩, and simplify it for the case D=2d.
(d) For the same value of D, show that
dtd⟨n2⟩=b(2μ+1)−4d(⟨n2⟩−μ)−2dp1
Deduce that the variance σ2 in the stationary state for b,d>0 satisfies
4d3b−21<σ2<4d3b